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Prediction for CME (2014-06-12T22:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-06-12T22:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5767/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-17T05:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-06-15T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Jun 13 1300 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
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# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
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The complex and long duration M3.1 flare (peaking at 22:16 UT) on June 12 was associated with an EIT wave, type II radio burst (estimated shock wave speed is about 1700 km/s) and a partial halo CME. The CME was first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 22:12 UT, had the angular width of 200 degrees and the projected plane of the sky speed of 600 km/s (as reported by the CACTUS software). The bulk of the CME mass was ejected south-west from the Sun-Earth line. The arrival of the glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave is possible but not very probable in the evening of June 15.
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Lead Time: 88.67 hour(s)
Difference: 47.67 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-06-13T13:00Z
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